Dec
6
These rates are freezing
Filed Under economy, mortgage, rates | 2 Comments
Five-Year Mortgage Rate Freeze Looms
Wednesday December 5, 8:42 pm ET
By Martin Crutsinger and Alan Zibel, Associated Press Writers
Bush Mortgage Plan Will Freeze Certain Subprime Interest Rates for 5 Years WASHINGTON (AP) — The Bush administration has hammered out an agreement to freeze interest rates for certain subprime mortgages for five years to combat a soaring tide of foreclosures, congressional aides said Wednesday.
The aides, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the details have not yet been released, said the five-year moratorium represented a compromise between desires by banking regulators for a longer time frame of up to seven years and mortgage industry arguments that the freeze should last only one or two years.
Another person familiar with the matter said the rate-freeze plan would apply to borrowers with loans made at the start of 2005 through July 30 of this year with rates that are scheduled to rise between Jan. 1, 2008, and July 31, 2010.
The administration said President Bush will speak on the agreement at the White House on Thursday and the Treasury Department announced that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Alphonso Jackson would hold a joint news conference Thursday afternoon with mortgage industry officials.
Treasury also announced there would be a technical briefing to explain more of the proposal’s details.
Paulson, who has been leading the effort to craft a plan, said on Monday that the program would only be available for owner-occupied homes — to ensure the break is not given to real estate speculators.
The plan emerged from talks between Paulson and other banking regulators and banks, mortgage investors and consumer groups trying to address an avalanche of foreclosures feared as an estimated 2 million subprime mortgages reset from lower introductory rates to higher rates.
In many cases, the higher rates will boost monthly payments by as much as 30 percent, making it very difficult for many people to keep current with their loans.
The plan is aimed at homeowners who are making payments on time at lower introductory mortgage rates but cannot afford a higher adjusted rate.
Through October, there were about 1.8 million foreclosure filings nationwide, compared with about 1.3 million in all of 2006, according to Irvine, Calif.-based RealtyTrac Inc. With home loan defaults still rising, the trend is expected to worsen next year.
The plan represents an about-face for Paulson, who until recently had insisted the mortgage crisis could be handled on a case-by-case basis. However, he and other administration officials became convinced the tide of foreclosures threatened by the mortgage resets represented such a severe threat that a more sweeping approach was needed. They opted for a proposal that was along the lines of a plan put forward in October by Sheila Bair, head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
Paulson and other federal regulators began holding talks with some of the country’s biggest mortgage lenders, mortgage service companies, investors who hold mortgage-backed securities and nonprofit groups that provide counseling for at-risk homeowners.
Under the typical subprime loan — those offered to borrowers with spotty credit histories — the rates for the first two years were at levels around 7 percent to 8 percent. But after two years, those rates were scheduled to reset to levels around 9 percent to 11 percent.
For a typical $1,200 monthly mortgage payment, the reset could add another $350 to the monthly payment, greatly raising the risks of loan defaults by homeowners struggling with the current payment.
The wave of mortgage foreclosures threatened to make the most severe slump in housing even worse by dumping more foreclosed properties onto an already glutted market, further depressing home prices and shaking consumer confidence.
The deepening housing slump has already roiled financial markets, starting in August, as investors grew increasingly concerned about billions of dollars of losses being suffered by banks, hedge funds and other investors.
The administration plan is designed to deal with the crisis by letting subprime borrowers who are living in their homes and are current on their payments to avoid a costly reset for five years. The hope is that by that time the housing downturn will have stabilized, clearing out the glut of unsold homes and halting the steep slide in prices that is hitting many parts of the country.
With sales and prices once again rising, the expectation is that homeowners will be able to renegotiate their current adjustable rate mortgages into a more affordable fixed-rate plan.
The housing crisis has become an issue in the presidential race with Democrats Hillary Rodham Clinton and John Edwards putting forward their own proposals this week that would go further than the administration.
Clinton said her own proposal that would impose a 90-day moratorium on foreclosures and freeze the rates for five years or until they had been converted to fixed-rate loans was a better approach that would help more people.
“Although the administration is finally giving the foreclosure crisis the attention it deserves, it seems that President Bush is going to give struggling homeowners far less than they need,” she said in a statement.
Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Economy.com, called the administration plan a good first step, but said the government eventually will have to go further given the problem’s size and the threat to the economy.
“This is the most serious housing downturn we have seen in the post World War II period,” Zandi said. “It is a threat to the broader economy. The risks of a recession are very high.”
Associated Press reporters Deb Reichmann and Nedra Pickler contributed to this report.
Nov
10
8.5% or 6.6% in Two Years
Filed Under mortgage | Leave a Comment
Here’s an article from the Rocky Mountain News discussing Rates, Home Sales and Housing Bubbles.
Rising rates won’t stunt home sales, builder says
By John Rebchook, Rocky Mountain News
November 10, 2005Mortgage rates will rise to 8.5 percent in two years but won’t trigger a massive slowdown in Denver-area home sales or a housing bubble, Pat Hamill, CEO and president of Oakwood Homes, said Wednesday.
Hamill said rates were that high in 1995 and 1998, which were good years for home sales in the Denver area. But Hamill also pointed out that rates actually were falling during those years. Thirty-year, fixed- rate mortgages now are hovering around 6.5 percent.
Economic growth and job creation are far more important than higher rates, Hamill said.
Hamill was among the speakers at the 2005 Rocky Mountain Commercial Real Estate Expo Fall Forecast, held by the University of Denver’s Franklin L. Burns School of Real Estate and Construction Management.
Other speakers gave mostly rosy outlooks for the office, industrial, apartment, retail and land markets.
“We’re finally clawing our way out of the trough,” said Natasha Felten, president of Colorado Commercial Cos.
Hamill said one reason there won’t be a housing bubble is that homes aren’t as liquid as stocks. Even if home values fall, most people won’t be forced to sell, which is what often happens when stock prices drop, he said.
Also, speculators - who are artificially driving up home prices in other markets, such as California and Las Vegas - no longer are a factor in Denver, he said.
And home buyers in the U.S., on average, pay a smaller portion of their salaries to buy homes than do homeowners in other parts of the world, making them less vulnerable to falling values, Hamill said.
In the U.S., a typical buyer spends the equivalent of 3 1/2 times their annual income to buy a home, while in England, an average buyer spends seven times their income, he said.
People stretching to buy homes in hot markets such as California and Las Vegas, though, may be getting close to what U.K. homeowners pay, he said.
“We’re going to see that in our lifetime,” Hamill said.
rebchookj@RockyMountainNews.com or 303-892-5207
Copyright 2005, Rocky Mountain News. All Rights Reserved.
However, according to the National Association of Home Builder’s website, they predict rates to be 6.6% in 2007.