Feb
18
No Country for Mortgage Brokers
Filed Under mortgage | 3 Comments
Over the weekend I finally caught the movie, No Country for Old Men. It’s critically acclaimed and several friends recommended that I go see it. At times the movie was boring and slow. At times it was quick witted and interesting. However, most of the time nothing about the movie made sense.
In the current mortgage landscape nothing makes sense.
I still get several refinance requests from the internet where people are shopping and getting quoted rates that haven’t existed in years. Moreover, to get a loan closed today is much more difficult than ever before. So for anyone to do a loan at the lowest possible rates doesn’t make any business sense.
Some requests are for home purchases by real estate investors. Every day lenders are limiting their risk by limiting what a mortgage broker can and cannot submit. Every day programs are disappearing. There are very few high risk loans available. It’s only a matter of time before buying a home with no money down will become extinct.
Most of the inquiries I get are questions. Simple questions such as “Is now a good time to refinance?” or “Will not paying my bills hurt my credit?” The people who ask these don’t give me any information about themselves just a name and an email. That’s like asking your optometrist (eye doc) “Do I have ocular degeneration?” without having him/her/it look at your eyes.
Just like the movie, No Country for Old Men, there is no end in sight to all the madness.
Dec
6
These rates are freezing
Filed Under economy, mortgage, rates | 2 Comments
Five-Year Mortgage Rate Freeze Looms
Wednesday December 5, 8:42 pm ET
By Martin Crutsinger and Alan Zibel, Associated Press Writers
Bush Mortgage Plan Will Freeze Certain Subprime Interest Rates for 5 Years WASHINGTON (AP) — The Bush administration has hammered out an agreement to freeze interest rates for certain subprime mortgages for five years to combat a soaring tide of foreclosures, congressional aides said Wednesday.
The aides, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the details have not yet been released, said the five-year moratorium represented a compromise between desires by banking regulators for a longer time frame of up to seven years and mortgage industry arguments that the freeze should last only one or two years.
Another person familiar with the matter said the rate-freeze plan would apply to borrowers with loans made at the start of 2005 through July 30 of this year with rates that are scheduled to rise between Jan. 1, 2008, and July 31, 2010.
The administration said President Bush will speak on the agreement at the White House on Thursday and the Treasury Department announced that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Alphonso Jackson would hold a joint news conference Thursday afternoon with mortgage industry officials.
Treasury also announced there would be a technical briefing to explain more of the proposal’s details.
Paulson, who has been leading the effort to craft a plan, said on Monday that the program would only be available for owner-occupied homes — to ensure the break is not given to real estate speculators.
The plan emerged from talks between Paulson and other banking regulators and banks, mortgage investors and consumer groups trying to address an avalanche of foreclosures feared as an estimated 2 million subprime mortgages reset from lower introductory rates to higher rates.
In many cases, the higher rates will boost monthly payments by as much as 30 percent, making it very difficult for many people to keep current with their loans.
The plan is aimed at homeowners who are making payments on time at lower introductory mortgage rates but cannot afford a higher adjusted rate.
Through October, there were about 1.8 million foreclosure filings nationwide, compared with about 1.3 million in all of 2006, according to Irvine, Calif.-based RealtyTrac Inc. With home loan defaults still rising, the trend is expected to worsen next year.
The plan represents an about-face for Paulson, who until recently had insisted the mortgage crisis could be handled on a case-by-case basis. However, he and other administration officials became convinced the tide of foreclosures threatened by the mortgage resets represented such a severe threat that a more sweeping approach was needed. They opted for a proposal that was along the lines of a plan put forward in October by Sheila Bair, head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
Paulson and other federal regulators began holding talks with some of the country’s biggest mortgage lenders, mortgage service companies, investors who hold mortgage-backed securities and nonprofit groups that provide counseling for at-risk homeowners.
Under the typical subprime loan — those offered to borrowers with spotty credit histories — the rates for the first two years were at levels around 7 percent to 8 percent. But after two years, those rates were scheduled to reset to levels around 9 percent to 11 percent.
For a typical $1,200 monthly mortgage payment, the reset could add another $350 to the monthly payment, greatly raising the risks of loan defaults by homeowners struggling with the current payment.
The wave of mortgage foreclosures threatened to make the most severe slump in housing even worse by dumping more foreclosed properties onto an already glutted market, further depressing home prices and shaking consumer confidence.
The deepening housing slump has already roiled financial markets, starting in August, as investors grew increasingly concerned about billions of dollars of losses being suffered by banks, hedge funds and other investors.
The administration plan is designed to deal with the crisis by letting subprime borrowers who are living in their homes and are current on their payments to avoid a costly reset for five years. The hope is that by that time the housing downturn will have stabilized, clearing out the glut of unsold homes and halting the steep slide in prices that is hitting many parts of the country.
With sales and prices once again rising, the expectation is that homeowners will be able to renegotiate their current adjustable rate mortgages into a more affordable fixed-rate plan.
The housing crisis has become an issue in the presidential race with Democrats Hillary Rodham Clinton and John Edwards putting forward their own proposals this week that would go further than the administration.
Clinton said her own proposal that would impose a 90-day moratorium on foreclosures and freeze the rates for five years or until they had been converted to fixed-rate loans was a better approach that would help more people.
“Although the administration is finally giving the foreclosure crisis the attention it deserves, it seems that President Bush is going to give struggling homeowners far less than they need,” she said in a statement.
Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Economy.com, called the administration plan a good first step, but said the government eventually will have to go further given the problem’s size and the threat to the economy.
“This is the most serious housing downturn we have seen in the post World War II period,” Zandi said. “It is a threat to the broader economy. The risks of a recession are very high.”
Associated Press reporters Deb Reichmann and Nedra Pickler contributed to this report.
Nov
19
I used to check my web statistics frequently. I would look at where my web traffic was coming from, what they’re searching for, and how long they’re staying. Sometimes you have to stop and say wtf am I doing. Today I rarely check my stats but I noticed the following:
Most of my visitors come from Google. A good portion of those visitors are looking for mortgage information. A good portion of those visitors are looking for Denver mortgage companies.
This means that my site is focused on the right things which means that Denver Lender = Denver Mortgage Information and Denver Mortgage Company.
Right now the mortgage world is upside down. More people have questions and few people have answers. One thing I’ve noticed is that people are in good loans but based on what their reading and hearing on the news, they think they’re in bad loans. Not all Adjustable Rate and Interest Only Mortgages and are bad. It truly depends on your situation.
If you have a question, just ask you’ll be glad you did. You won’t get any sales pitch, just straightforward answers backed by numbers. People lie, numbers don’t.
Oct
29
Countrywide Financial Corp., the nation’s largest mortgage lender, plans to offer refinancing or modifications on $16 billion in loans whose interest rate is set to adjust by the end of 2008.
Rocky Mountain News: Countrywide to push refis, modified loans
New York Times: Countrywide to Help Restructure Loansm
Or are they simply trying to get more business?
Mortgage giant Countrywide Financial Corp., whose loan volume is down sharply in the wake of the housing downturn and the sub-prime meltdown, is aggressively trying to get its customers to refinance. Here are excerpts from two pitches the company sent recently to homeowners:
Exciting news — we are now offering a Special Online Rate Discount. . . . If you qualify, you could get up to $511,006 to pay off credit cards and other loans.
– Countrywide e-mail
No need to show bank statements or verify other assets . . . no paycheck stubs or proof of income required . . . no new appraisal needed (in most cases).
– Countrywide flier
Could be a combination of both. However, this uber annoying Countrywide commercial has been in HEAVY ROTATION:
Sep
25
The Toll on Lenders is minimized
Filed Under denver post, mortgage | Leave a Comment
The headline is much better than the article:
“Quick action by Erin Toll, state Division of Real Estate director, kept lenders from pulling out of Colorado because of new laws.”
In June, some major lenders (OptionOne Mortgage, IndyMac, SunTrust Mortgage and Aurora Loan Services) threatened to stop making home loans in Colorado after they disagreed with new requirements the state placed on mortgage providers.
The lenders were beefing about this law:
Mortgage providers must show that loans are reasonable and benefit borrowers, and they must also disclose more about how they are compensated.
Seriously, don’t waste your time reading the full article: Regulator keeps money flowing for homebuyers
Aug
28
Ben Stein’s take on the Market
Filed Under mortgage, rates, real estate | 1 Comment
I usually rely on Andy Rooney Ben Stein to make sense of whatever ails America. His self-effacing wit tends to overshadow his knowledge. He’s like the “very rich and very eccentric” grandfather we wished we had, the one who was wise beyond his years who spoke from the heart. My maternal grandfather fit this profile except there a distinct language barrier as he spoke Tagalog and I didn’t.
Earlier this month Ben Stein wrote a piece called How Speculators Exploit Market Fears. It discusses what hedge fund managers do to create action in the stock market. Rather than take snippets from the article, here’s the full article:
Here’s a fact: The speculators and hedge fund managers who run today’s stock market need market volatility in order to make money.
They can’t make enough money if the market stays flat or moves only a bit, so they like extreme and unexpected price movements. They especially like sudden, surprise movements down, when they can make money off stocks they borrow and sell — or, as they say, “sell short.”
Money Lust Satisfied
That’s what’s been happening the past couple of weeks. But it’s not interesting to say that the speculators are whipping the market around to satisfy their money lust. So the speculators themselves make up reasons for why the market is fluctuating, flog those reasons to the media, and then profit if some other speculators believe the jive reasons and jump in the way the manipulators want them to.
Supposedly, the market is “correcting” because of worries about the housing slowdown, and also because of fears that the debt markets that support mergers and acquisitions is drying up.
These are interesting theories, and people who don’t know a lot about the stock market or the economy might find them beguiling. What follows are a few truths that show how shallow these “reasons” for the stock market moves are.
Housing a Theory
Yes, the housing market has slowed from a spectacular bubble level to a simply pretty good level. Housing sales and starts are now about what they were in 2002, and no one thought we were in a housing depression then.
In any event, housing is only about 5 percent of the economy. If it falls by 15 percent, that would represent a fall-off of about .75 percent. That’s not trivial, but it’s also not the stuff of which recessions are made.
The fact is that there is no recession. The economy is suffering from a labor shortage, not a surplus of unemployment. The Fed is worried about excess demand, not slack demand.
Corporate profits set new records every day. Whatever’s happening in residential sales and building is simply not slowing down the economy. Why should a Boeing or a Merck or a Pfizer have any reaction to housing at all? Because the speculators sell everything they can when nervousness sets in — and for no other reason.
A Minor Major Mess
Subprime is a mess. But it’s a small mess. Subprime mortgages account for roughly 20 percent of mortgages even in the most heavily exposed states. About 20 percent of them are delinquent in some way. That’s 4 percent of mortgages.
Of these, maybe half, or 2 percent, will go into foreclosure. There will be roughly 50 percent recovery on sale of these. This is a loss of 1 percent in the mortgage market — a sum the lenders have already made many times over because of the hefty fees on those deals. In the context of the size of the U.S. financial sector, it’s nothing.
And why should a crisis in subprime drive down stocks in Mexico and Thailand? Again, because the speculators seek to create panic to make money by selling short, and they sell short everything.
There’s simply no connection between subprime and developed or developing nations’ stocks. This by itself shows the thin context of the selling wave late last month.
Money’s Still Cheap
What about the supposed drying up of loans for mergers and acquisitions by private equity firms? Well, here’s a good, simple test of just how valid that explanation is for stock market moves: The majority of private equity takeovers are financed with junk debt.
If there really were a major shortage of funds for these deals, the interest rate on the junk would skyrocket. Instead, while the rate has risen by about 150 basis points in the past month, the spread between junk and investment grade is now about 290 basis points, according to leading junk analyst Martin Fridson.
This is a lot lower than the year-end average of the spread from 2002 to 2006, and far below the almost 800 basis point spread during a true interest-rate crunch like the one after the tech meltdown in 2000-2002.
So that’s phony, too. Interest rates have risen, but not anything like what they’ve done in real crises. And besides, the Dow fell by about 550 points the week before last, yet not one of the Dow stocks is involved as either acquiror or acquiree in a private equity deal.
In short, money is no longer virtually free the way it was for private equity deals in the past year. But it’s not expensive by historical standards, either.
Spreading the Fear
In other words, it’s all the speculators trying to panic us so their sell programs will make money. And they’ll make money as long as they can spread their panic. When they can’t do that any longer, they’ll work the long side — and make up reasons for that, too.
In the meantime, the economy is strong. Profits are great, and interest rates are low and will stay that way. Don’t sell. With all the shrieking about the market, it only fell to what it was about five weeks ago — and we didn’t think we were poor then.
So let the speculators shout “fire.” As of right now, they’re not blowing anything but smoke.
Two quick points:
131+ mortgage companies have shut down. If you’re a consumer chances are you’ve never heard of these companies. If you’re in the mortgage business, you’ve probably heard of a fraction (i’d say 25%) of these companies. For the most part, those that bet on high risk loans (subprime, alt-a, non-owners, etc.) lost. The ones that bet on low risk loans (conforming) are still open for business.
However, one quick look at Google Trends and you’ll notice that countrywide, mortgage, credit, or liquidity don’t show up as “hot searches” in Google.
Sometimes you need Ben Stein to make sense of a nonsensical world.
Aug
5
Flipping houses
Filed Under denver, foreclosure, real estate | 1 Comment
For some reason I get A LOT of visitors searching for “Fix and Flip in Denver” and “Fix and Flip loans.” Most people I’ve talked to regarding “fix and flips” simply don’t have a clue how much time or money is involved in a buying a house, remodeling, then selling it for a profit. People who are unprepared either go broke or wreck their credit or both. However, buying a home, fixing it, and then flipping it has always fascinated me.
Growing up I really enjoyed This Old House and Hometime. 20 years later and much to my surprise these shows are still on Public Television. The cast of characters has changed but the premise remains the same, remodel an aging house.
Today there are several shows devoted to flipping homes and I’m addicted to each and every one of them:
Property Ladder: By far the best of the shows not named This Old House or Hometime. Candidates for this show are fix and flip novices. The show is an hour long and typically the show focuses on the struggles these novices endure while flipping. They do receive guidance from Kristen Kemp a real estate investor. What I like is that follow through to the end and show some flips as complete flops.
Flip That House: If you have a short attention span, this fix and flip show is for you. It’s only 30 minutes long! Experienced and inexperienced flippers are depicted in a quick view of the fix and flip process. The show usually ends with a how much the home was purchased for, how much they spent, and the new price with the expected profit highlighted.
The Real Deal/Real Estate Pros: In one hour this show follows successful real estate flipper Richard Davis and his company, Team Trademark. It’s a pretty interesting show laden with extremely tight deadlines. Getting a house ready in a week only to get one of your employees into the property seems a little far fetched.
Flip This House: I liked this show because of Team Trademark but there was a lawsuit and Team Trademark moved on. There are other “teams” that are featured, one in San Antonio, TX, one in Atlanta, GA and the latest is in New Haven, CT. If you’re in drama you might want to skip the last team, the New Haven group seem to be as cohesive as the 2004 Boston Red Sox.
Flipping Out: Last week a new fix and flip show debuted on Bravo. It’s about Jeff Lewis, a professional real estate investor. Remember it’s on Bravo, the network that brought us Queer Eye for the Straight Guy in other words, expect a lot of drama.
Jan
30
During my senior year in college, I took a high level English class devoted entirely to Shakespeare’s plays. We studied several including Hamlet. While everyone always remembers the classic line “To be or not to be,” I always liked “Something is rotten in the state of Denmark.”
I didn’t think the line was useful until now…
Recently I came across an article entitled A look at how home mortgages operate around the globe. According to the article the Danish has a similar system as ours. If their mortgage system is anything like ours then something is rotten in the state of Denmark.
Their (the Danish) mortgage system, like ours, relies heavily on the capital markets. Consequently, it is the only country to have home loans with most of the key features of those found in the United States. But there are limitations.
For one thing, lending criteria are extremely rigid, much more so than in the U.S. For another, Danish borrowers must come up with far larger down payments. In the United States, borrowers who make a 20% down payment tend to get the best terms available. But in Denmark, to achieve an 80% loan-to-value ratio, borrowers must take out a variable-rate second mortgage to cover the difference.
Danish mortgages are also “portable,” meaning that when owners sell their homes, they can carry their mortgages over to the new house.
Let’s hope that Danish mortgages aren’t brokered by dirty “rotten” scoundrels.
Countries covered in the article include the aforementioned Denmark, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Germany, and our neighbor’s to the north, Canada. The general consensus among these countries is to require substantial down payments.
Jan
17
FAQ: How do I get the best rate?
Filed Under faq, mortgage | Leave a Comment
From time to time I’ll be addressing client questions that are frequently asked and some questions that are quite obscure. Some questions are mortgage related, some are real estate related, and some are Denver related. My answers won’t be the canned answers you see on most mortgage sites.
Q: “How do I get the best rate?”
A: Let’s assume the following:
- you’re asking about a mortgage on a single family house that’s considered your primary residence
- you’re asking about a first mortgage without a second mortgage
- you have either 20% equity (refinance) or you’re putting a 20% down payment (purchase)
- you have credit scores over 720
- you don’t have any late payments of any kind
- you have assets i.e. money in a checking account, savings account, 401k, mutual funds and/or stocks at established financial institution(s)
- you have statements from the aforementioned financial institution(s)
- you’ve been in the same line of work for quite some time for the same company
- you have a limited amount of debt
- your debt to income ratio is far below the 40% threshold
If you fit this profile you’ll get the best rates because mortgage institutions view this profile as little to no risk. These loans are typically run through an automated underwriting program i.e. computer software that runs an algorerithm (software geek joke) and gives you a loan approval in seconds. Even if you don’t fit this profile 100%, the automated underwriting program may still grant you an approval in seconds. Your history of paying debt (credit score), capacity to pay the loan (income/assets), and the collateral backing the debt (property) all plays a role in getting the best rate.
Dec
1
Musings on my search results
Filed Under blog | Leave a Comment
I’d like to think that my blog is unique, I don’t just blog about mortgages cause quite frankly mortgages isn’t the most exiting subject on the planet. Most mortgage brokers don’t blog (do they even know what a blog is?) so I thought blogging would separate me from the pack. Most of my traffic is derived via Google searches. When I started blogging I sent my url to my past clients, friends, etc. and over the past couple of months I’ve received links from other blogs and sites, but I still get more traffic from google than any other medium. It’s not even close.
Here are some of the search terms (in UPPER CASE) that were used to find my site:
- NY PIZZA in DENVER: If there’s something I know, it’s NY Pizza. The site for Original New York Pizza is www.originalpizza.us and it’s located here: 1300 W Midway Blvd in Broomfield, CO 80020 to order a pie call (303) 469-9117. Pantaleone’s is another good NY Pizza joint despite the owners being from Soprano country (NJ) here’s their address: 2120 S Holly St # 6 Denver, CO 80222 and number (303) 757-3456.
- My DENVER BLOG covers Denver real estate, Denver trends, Denver mortgages, and just about anything the gooey substance above my medulla oblongata comes up with.
- TEDY BRUSCHI of the New England Patriots is one of my favorite NFL players because he plays the way the game should be played and yes, he’s HALF-FILIPINO and HALF-ITALIAN. DEAN CAIN and WILL FERRELL are not Filipino.
- You can buy STARBURY SNEAKERS in DENVER, Colorado, you can go to Steve and Barry’s located at 8501 West Bowles Avenue in Littleton, CO 80123 call them at 303-904-7513 for directions.
- FORECLOSURE is a hot topic in COLORADO and DENVER. Fellow Colorado bloggers have tried to minimize the problem. When 90% of the leads that I get from my websites is from Colorado Home Owners facing foreclosure, I’d say foreclosure is a problem. Any way you cut it, people don’t want to lose their homes and saying “sorry, I can’t help you” really sucks!
- KOSI 101 plays CHRISTMAS MUSIC. Tune to 101.1 on your FM dial.
- DENVER is not going through a HOUSING BUBBLE BURST. Denver may have flat lined in terms of property value over the past 4 to 5 years but Denver’s real estate hasn’t popped. Who in their right mind would want to move to a booming city that features 300 days of sunshine a year, skiing in our backyard, hiking, biking, great sports, light rail, international airport, great restaurants, and affordable housing? (sarcasm)
- THE NEXT WASHINGTON PARK could very well be Stapleton, Lowry, Riverfront or anywhere near the Pedestrian Bridge. A realtor would probably be a better person to ask (now there’s an idea for a blog post) so if you need a realtor, just ask. I only work with realtors that won’t waste your time or mine.
- The DIFFERENCE between a MORTGAGE PLANNER and a MORTGAGE BROKER: a mortgage planner actually gives a rats ass about you as a human being and your long term future. For the record, I consider myself a MORTGAGE PLANNER.
- HGTV is scouting for new home buyers in the DENVER metro area for their show, MY FIRST PLACE. However, I think this train came and left.
- REAL WORLD DENVER takes place in LoDo (Lower Downtown) and no I won’t be making any cameos on the show. I believe they filmed the show on Market Street a stone throw away from Coors Field. I’d actually like to see MTV show music videos like they did when I was a kid.
- CASEY SERIN is facing FORECLOSURE and blogging (www.iamfacingforeclosure.com) about it. The guy is going through hell.
- DENVER FIX and FLIP and FLIPPING HOUSES in DENVER, please refer to Casey Serin’s blog before you call me about a loan.
- Yes, there are NY JETS FANS IN DENVER. I’m a die hard NY Jets fan but I don’t know what bar the NY Jets fans congregate. A few years ago it was the Sports Column but when I showed up in my Vinny Testaverde Jersey, there were more Pats fans in the house. Old Chicago on 14th and Market is always a good bet, they show all the games.
- ALTUS HOME LOANS is not the most reputable mortgage company in Colorado. Their DECEIVING ADS are what they are that’s why they’re in trouble. What’s more concerning is that we want politicians to clean up the mortgage mess. What’s the difference between politicians and a mortgage company? They too make just about any promise necessary to get the deal (elected), then fall short of expectations time and time again.
- You really need TITLE INSURANCE in Colorado it’s necessary and not a JUNK FEE.
- WHAT IS WRONG WITH THE DENVER BRONCOS? I don’t have that line anywhere on any of my posts but here’s my answer is “Jake the Snake is not John Elway and neither is Jay Cutler!”