These rates are freezing
Five-Year Mortgage Rate Freeze Looms
Wednesday December 5, 8:42 pm ET
By Martin Crutsinger and Alan Zibel, Associated Press Writers
Bush Mortgage Plan Will Freeze Certain Subprime Interest Rates for 5 Years WASHINGTON (AP) — The Bush administration has hammered out an agreement to freeze interest rates for certain subprime mortgages for five years to combat a soaring tide of foreclosures, congressional aides said Wednesday.
The aides, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the details have not yet been released, said the five-year moratorium represented a compromise between desires by banking regulators for a longer time frame of up to seven years and mortgage industry arguments that the freeze should last only one or two years.
Another person familiar with the matter said the rate-freeze plan would apply to borrowers with loans made at the start of 2005 through July 30 of this year with rates that are scheduled to rise between Jan. 1, 2008, and July 31, 2010.
The administration said President Bush will speak on the agreement at the White House on Thursday and the Treasury Department announced that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Alphonso Jackson would hold a joint news conference Thursday afternoon with mortgage industry officials.
Treasury also announced there would be a technical briefing to explain more of the proposal’s details.
Paulson, who has been leading the effort to craft a plan, said on Monday that the program would only be available for owner-occupied homes — to ensure the break is not given to real estate speculators.
The plan emerged from talks between Paulson and other banking regulators and banks, mortgage investors and consumer groups trying to address an avalanche of foreclosures feared as an estimated 2 million subprime mortgages reset from lower introductory rates to higher rates.
In many cases, the higher rates will boost monthly payments by as much as 30 percent, making it very difficult for many people to keep current with their loans.
The plan is aimed at homeowners who are making payments on time at lower introductory mortgage rates but cannot afford a higher adjusted rate.
Through October, there were about 1.8 million foreclosure filings nationwide, compared with about 1.3 million in all of 2006, according to Irvine, Calif.-based RealtyTrac Inc. With home loan defaults still rising, the trend is expected to worsen next year.
The plan represents an about-face for Paulson, who until recently had insisted the mortgage crisis could be handled on a case-by-case basis. However, he and other administration officials became convinced the tide of foreclosures threatened by the mortgage resets represented such a severe threat that a more sweeping approach was needed. They opted for a proposal that was along the lines of a plan put forward in October by Sheila Bair, head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
Paulson and other federal regulators began holding talks with some of the country’s biggest mortgage lenders, mortgage service companies, investors who hold mortgage-backed securities and nonprofit groups that provide counseling for at-risk homeowners.
Under the typical subprime loan — those offered to borrowers with spotty credit histories — the rates for the first two years were at levels around 7 percent to 8 percent. But after two years, those rates were scheduled to reset to levels around 9 percent to 11 percent.
For a typical $1,200 monthly mortgage payment, the reset could add another $350 to the monthly payment, greatly raising the risks of loan defaults by homeowners struggling with the current payment.
The wave of mortgage foreclosures threatened to make the most severe slump in housing even worse by dumping more foreclosed properties onto an already glutted market, further depressing home prices and shaking consumer confidence.
The deepening housing slump has already roiled financial markets, starting in August, as investors grew increasingly concerned about billions of dollars of losses being suffered by banks, hedge funds and other investors.
The administration plan is designed to deal with the crisis by letting subprime borrowers who are living in their homes and are current on their payments to avoid a costly reset for five years. The hope is that by that time the housing downturn will have stabilized, clearing out the glut of unsold homes and halting the steep slide in prices that is hitting many parts of the country.
With sales and prices once again rising, the expectation is that homeowners will be able to renegotiate their current adjustable rate mortgages into a more affordable fixed-rate plan.
The housing crisis has become an issue in the presidential race with Democrats Hillary Rodham Clinton and John Edwards putting forward their own proposals this week that would go further than the administration.
Clinton said her own proposal that would impose a 90-day moratorium on foreclosures and freeze the rates for five years or until they had been converted to fixed-rate loans was a better approach that would help more people.
“Although the administration is finally giving the foreclosure crisis the attention it deserves, it seems that President Bush is going to give struggling homeowners far less than they need,” she said in a statement.
Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Economy.com, called the administration plan a good first step, but said the government eventually will have to go further given the problem’s size and the threat to the economy.
“This is the most serious housing downturn we have seen in the post World War II period,” Zandi said. “It is a threat to the broader economy. The risks of a recession are very high.”
Associated Press reporters Deb Reichmann and Nedra Pickler contributed to this report.
FHASecure and your Adjustable Rate Mortgage, perfect together?
Mortgage Primer: loans that Wall St. doesn’t like
Here’s a mortgage primer on which loans are no longer the flavor of the month on Wall Street. They’re the Michael Vick’s of the mortgage world, they were once very popular on but now nobody wants to be associated with them. Okay, that’s a little bit too harsh since these loans didn’t kill dogs. Then again, these loans have put families in dire straits so lets keep the Michael Vick analogy.
Loans the Wall Street doesn’t like:
- THE LOANS WITH THE REALLY REALLY REALLY LOW RATE AND LOW MONTHLY PAYMENT
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WITH REALLY REALLY REALLY BAD CREDIT HISTORIES
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WHO HAVE GOOD CREDIT BUT WHOSE OVERALL LOAN APPLICATION DOESN’T MEET FANNIE MAE OR FREDDIE MAC’S STANDARDS
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WHO CAN’T REALLY REALLY REALLY SHOW HOW MUCH MONEY THEY’VE MADE OR HOW MUCH THEY HAVE SAVED UP
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WHO REALLY REALLY REALLY DON’T WANT TO PUT ANY MONEY DOWN
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WHO REALLY REALLY REALLY DON’T WANT TO PAY AN AMORTIZED PAYMENT
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WHO REALLY REALLY REALLY WANT TO BUY A HOME THEY HAVE NO INTENTION OF LIVING IN
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WHO REALLY REALLY REALLY MAKE A LOT OF DOUGH
- THE LOANS FOR BORROWERS WHO REALLY REALLY REALLY HAVE NO INTENTION OF LIVING IN THEIR HOMES FOR 15 to 30 YEARS
- THE LOANS WITH REALLY REALLY REALLY NO RISK
Also called: 1%, NEGATIVE AMORTIZATION, NEG AM, OPTION ARMS, PAY OPTION ARMS or
“A CAN OF WHOOP ASS WAITING TO HAPPEN”
Also called: SUBPRIME, NON PRIME, POOR CREDIT, 2/28s, 3/27s, or
“I GUESS THIS IS WHAT I GET FOR NOT PAYING MY BILLS”
Also called: ALT-A or
“SO I’VE GOT GOOD CREDIT AND A GOOD JOB BUT I’M PENALIZED FOR NOT SAVING ANY MONEY”
Also called: STATED INCOME, STATEDSIVA, SISA, NO DOC, or
“DON’T THEY HAVE LOANS FOR PEOPLE WHO DON’T HAVE JOBS?”
Are called: 80/20, 100% Financing, NO MONEY DOWN, 103%, 107% or
“I WANT A LOAN WHERE I GET TO KEEP MY MONEY IN CASE MY JOB GETS OUTSOURCED TO INDIA”
Also called: INTEREST ONLY, IO, or
“IF I LIKE PAYING DOWN PRINCIPAL MY PAYMENT GETS RECAST TO A LOWER PAYMENT EVERY MONTH”
Also called: INVESTMENT PROPERTY LOANS, NON OWNER OCCUPANCY, NOO or
“I’M GOING TO BE THE NEXT DONALD TRUMP”
Also called: JUMBO, NON CONFORMING, SUPER JUMBO, MILLION DOLLAR LOANS, ANYTHING OVER $417,000 or
“THAT’S PRETTY LOW FOR A RATE OF RETURN AND PRETTY HIGH FOR A MORTGAGE INTEREST RATE”
It remains to be seen if Wall Street still likes:
Also called: ADJUSTABLE RATE MORTGAGES, ARMS, 3/1, 5/1, 7/1, 10/1, TEASER RATE LOANS, HYBRID LOANS, BALLOONS or
“THE AVERAGE PERSON MOVES EVERY 5 to 7 YEARS, SO WHY SHOULD I GET A LOAN FOR 30 YEARS?”
Wall Street will always like:
Also called: FHA, VA, CONFORMING, FANNIE MAE, FREDDIE MAC or
“THE LOANS THAT MAKE UP THE MAJORITY OF THE AMERICAN MORTGAGE LANDSCAPE”
Protect Us from Hillary
With the Democratic National Convention looming, Hillary Clinton is making a splash. The former Park Ridge, IL native and now NY Senator (I still don’t know how New Yorkers voted for her instead of Rick Lazio) wants to protect people from going into foreclosure.
“I don’t think families should be lured into buying homes they can’t afford,” Clinton said.
Clinton blames adjustable rate mortgages as the culprit for all the foreclosures. She must be getting her data from all the housing bubble blogs which show advertisements from the mortgage companies they rail against.
There’s really no substantial way to protect people from getting sick, losing their jobs, or dying. These are some of the REAL REASONS why people go into foreclosure.
Apathy and Ignorance
“Is it ignorance or apathy? Hey, I don’t know and I don’t care.” - Jimmy Buffet
Apathy: the trait of lacking enthusiasm for or interest in things generally
Ignorance: the lack of knowledge or education
According to a Bankrate survey 34% of homeowners don’t know the type of mortgage they have.
These were the key findings of the survey:
Homeowners:
- 36% who now have an Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM), plan to refinance to a fixed-rate loan when their ARM changes
- 28% of those surveyed worry either regularly or sometimes about how they will afford their payments next year
- 57% of homeowners polled have a fixed-rate mortgage
Your home is your biggest asset/liability depending on how you view your home. Most people either have one of three kinds of mortgages because there are only three kinds:
- fixed rate mortgage which means it’s fixed for 10, 15, 20, 30, 40, 45, or 50 years
- an adjustable rate mortgage which means it’s not fixed, it will adjust at some point
- a negative amortization mortgage which means if you don’t know what kind of mortgage you have then this loan is not for you
If you don’t know the mortgage interest rate and the mortgage loan program you’re in, simply find your mortgage documents and find your NOTE and read it!
Band aid lenders go broke
Yesterday, ZERO DOWN LENDERS FOLDING was emblazoned on the front page of the Denver Post.
The article discusses in detail how subprime lenders are going out of business. The model suprime lenders use is usually the same across the board. Typically they offer 2 or 3 year adjustable rate mortgages. Once the borrower has a two year history of paying a mortgage they usually refinance to another loan. Hence the term band aid loans or band aid lenders. These lenders are going broke and now it’s front page news.
About two dozen of the largest subprime mortgage lenders across the country - some with offices and customers in Denver - have gone under or stopped making loans since December….
Subprime lenders are typically viewed as lending options to poor credit borrowers as well as borrowers with collections, bankruptcy, or foreclosures. However, they cater to more than that:
- If a borrower has great credit but no assets, they may be a subprime borrower.
- If a borrower has poor credit and a multitude of assets, they may be a subprime borrower.
- If a borrower is buying their first home but doesn’t have the income necessary to qualify for a FHA loan, they may be a subprime borrower.
- If a borrower has more than one late payment on a mortgage, they may be a subprime borrower.
- If a borrower is buying a home and renting a room to a friend, they may be a subprime borrower.
- If a borrower… well you get the point. The scenarios are endless.
The Feds explain high risk mortgages
Back in September, the Feds came out with a press release entitled: Federal financial regulatory agencies issue final guidance on nontraditional mortgage product risks–September 29, 2006. The purpose of this press release was to address the problems our nation has been having with high risk mortgages.
These products, referred to variously as “nontraditional,” “alternative,” or “exotic” mortgage loans (referred to below as nontraditional mortgage loans), include “interest-only” mortgages and “payment option” adjustable-rate mortgages. These products allow borrowers to exchange lower payments during an initial period for higher payments later.
These loans often carry the following layers of risk:
- Interest Only
- Adjustment of Rate
- Negative Amortization
- Prepayment penalties
: Interest only payments do not require principal reduction therefore your loan balance stays the same.
: When adjustable rate mortgages begin their adjustment phase, your loan payments may increase.
: When you only make the minimum payment your principal balance increases every month.
: If you decide to refinance or sell your home before the penalty expires, you may face severe monetary penalties.
For more on the Feds effort to explain high risk mortgages, check out these addendum’s which explain:
Phil’s take: I take pride in understanding these “high risk” mortgages inside and out. However, it took time to really understand all the nuances. On the other hand, a borrower has a month, maybe less, to really understand what they’re getting themselves into. The above documents are a good start but it won’t deter mortgage companies from coming up with even more complex loan programs in the future.
Weld County Foreclosure highest in CO
I remember driving up to Fort Collins one day last year and seeing all the sprawl that has happened in the area just north of Thornton. Towns such as Dacono, Erie, Firestone, and Frederick seemed to just materialize out of nowhere. Weld county went boom.
Weld County covers an area of 3,999 square miles in north central Colorado. It is bordered on the north by Wyoming and Nebraska and on the south by the Denver metropolitan area. The third largest county in Colorado, Weld County has an area greater than that of Rhode Island, Delaware and the District of Columbia combined.
According to the Denver Post, Weld county goes bust:
Weld has surpassed Adams as the Colorado county with the highest concentration of homes in foreclosure, according to Realty Trac, an Irvine, Calif., provider of foreclosure data.
One of every 66 homes in Weld County entered some stage of foreclosure in the second quarter, compared with one of every 71 homes in Adams County.
Of course, mortgage companies get most of the blame:
“It is not a fact we are real proud of,” said Donna Schmidt, chief deputy public trustee for Weld County. “We are extremely busy.” …
Schmidt blames poor lending practices for the jump in foreclosures in her county, including adjustable-rate and zero-down mortgages.
“We are seeing the tail end of the bad loans that were given out,” she said.
While 100% financing, adjustable rate mortgages, and questionable lending should burden some of the blame, Weld county should also blame over development and builder incentives. After all most of these homes are new builds and most builders have their own in-house lenders.
Geting an Adjustable “Russian Roullette” Mortgage
On Wednesday morning I was interviewed by John Rebchook of the Rocky Mountain News. He asked me several questions regarding Adjustable Rate Mortgages. I enjoy Mr. Rebchook’s articles (they appear usually in Saturday in the Business section) and I enjoyed our conversation immensely. Although none of my candid comments made the article entitled Those Arms Starting to Hurt, it was a great opportunity to talk mortgages.
Rock on Mr. Rebchook and thanks again for the call!
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Holders Prepare for Increase in Interest Rates
Interest rates are on the rise and many home owners who have adjustable rate mortgages may see increases in their forthcoming annual adjustments.
Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan made it clear in 2004 that the Federal Reserve would be increasing short-term interest rates at a measured pace. With the US Dollar at its weakest point in seven years, oil prices unstable and the evaluation of other economic indicators, the Fed Funds Rate was hiked seven times from 1.0% to 2.75% since June 2004 in an effort to curb inflation. Some economists believe it won’t stop until the Fed Fund Rate hits 4.0%.
Consumers with revolving debt accounts tied to the prime rate have seen the effect through rising interest rate charges, as the prime rate always rides 3% above the current Fed Funds Rate.
Mortgage interest rates are affected indirectly by these changes. An increase in the Fed Funds Rate has an impact on financial markets as a whole, but mortgage rates may go up or down based on the perception investors have of current economic statistics and their reaction to the Federal Reserve’s after-meeting statements.
In general, when economic data indicates we have a slow-down occurring in our economy, investors tend to sell off stocks and reallocate that money to the safe haven of bonds and mortgage-backed securities. The purchase of mortgage-backed securities drives interest rates down. When economic data says there is growth in the economy, the stock market typically rallies and mortgage-backed securities sell off to fuel that stock market rally. This drives mortgage interest rates up.
Our current market reflects the reaction of investors reading between the lines on comments made by the Fed, and mortgage interest rates are going up. This will have an affect on home owners with adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) tied to indexes that are based on short-term interest rates. This includes the 11th District Cost of Funds, 12-Month Treasury Average (MTA), London Inter Bank Offering Rates (LIBOR) and others.
This doesn’t mean that everyone with an adjustable mortgage is in trouble right away. Some indexes are more volatile than others. COFI moves much slower than other adjustable rate indexes, while the LIBOR fluctuates with more volatility. But remember, when an ARM adjusts, the new interest rate is a sum of the borrower’s fixed margin plus the current rate of the index the mortgage is tied to.
Consumers who foresee paying an interest rate that is significantly higher may want to consider refinancing to take advantage of the stability of a fixed rate mortgage.
This is also a good time for borrowers who started out in an adjustable rate loan due to a poor credit score to transition into a fixed rate loan if they can. Once a track record of making mortgage payments on time and in full has been established, this should have a positive effect on the credit score and there is a good chance the borrower may now qualify for a loan with a lower interest rate.
As with any decision to refinance, it is important to take the terms of the existing loan, the cost of the new loan, and the borrower’s long-term needs into consideration. A qualified mortgage professional should help weigh out the options by providing a clear assessment of available loan programs for the consumer.